Amed SK vs Umraniyespor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Amed SK PPG 2.65

VS PENDING

Umraniyespor PPG 0.82

Home· +1.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Amed SK face Umraniyespor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Amed SK a 79% chance, the draw 14% and Umraniyespor 6%, so Amed SK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Amed SK and 0.5 for Umraniyespor (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Amed SK are averaging 2.65 points per game versus 0.82 for Umraniyespor. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 79.3%

Odds: 1.28 EV: +1.5%

Draw 14.4%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -28.0%

Away 6.3%

Odds: 8.80 EV: -44.6%

Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.6% Odds: 1.45 -17.9%

Over 3.5 34.2% Odds: 2.15 -26.5%

BTTS 37.6% Odds: 1.73 -34.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 3-0

4th 2-1

5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Amed SK

2.42

Umraniyespor

0.53

Model SuggestionHome +1.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.65), Away POOR (0.82) - Strong consensus