Leagues / NETHERLANDS / Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
● LOW SAMPLE
FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET
Upcoming Eerste Divisie predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT18:00 Heracles vs De Graafschap Over 2.5 73% 1.30 -6%4 SEPT18:00 Waalwijk vs NAC Breda Over 2.5 65% 1.48 -4%4 SEPT18:00 Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo BTTS 61% 1.45 -11%4 SEPT18:00 Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax Over 2.5 68% 1.28 -12%4 SEPT18:00 Emmen vs FC Volendam Over 2.5 68% 1.42 -3%4 SEPT18:00 Vitesse vs FC OSS Over 2.5 60% 1.50 -10%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 38 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
50.0%
1X2
19/38
68.4%
O/U 2.5
26/38
65.8%
BTTS
25/38
34.2%
Exact score
13/38
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
5
Settled
40.0%
Hit rate
2/5
1.41
Avg odds
-44.4%
ROI
-2.2u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=5 40.0% HIT · AVG 1.41 · -44.4% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-30.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-31.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 11 HIT · 4 MISS
31 AUG Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht Over 2.5 -10% 2–1 HIT31 AUG Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax Over 2.5 -11% 1–1 MISS30 AUG VVV Venlo vs Emmen Over 2.5 -2% 4–0 HIT29 AUG De Graafschap vs Almere City FC Over 2.5 -13% 1–4 HIT28 AUG Den Bosch vs Vitesse Over 2.5 -5% 1–4 HIT28 AUG Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 Over 2.5 -12% 2–2 HIT28 AUG Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport Over 2.5 -1% 3–2 HIT28 AUG FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht BTTS -12% 2–1 HIT28 AUG Jong AZ vs MVV BTTS -14% 1–2 HIT24 AUG Jong PSV U21 vs FC OSS Over 2.5 -4% 1–0 MISS23 AUG VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap Over 2.5 -6% 2–1 HIT21 AUG Dordrecht vs Roda BTTS -16% 0–1 MISS21 AUG Vitesse vs Almere City FC BTTS -9% 0–3 MISS21 AUG Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk BTTS -14% 1–1 HIT21 AUG Emmen vs Jong AZ BTTS -6% 3–1 HIT