Lusitania FC vs FC Porto B Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Portugal - Segunda Liga Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Lusitania FC PPG 1.29

VS PENDING

FC Porto B PPG 1.07

Over3.5· +101.7% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lusitania FC face FC Porto B in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lusitania FC a 42% chance, the draw 21% and FC Porto B 37%, so Lusitania FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lusitania FC and 1.8 for FC Porto B (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lusitania FC are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.07 for FC Porto B. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +101.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.9%

Odds: 2.26 EV: -5.3%

Draw 21.3%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -34.0%

Away 36.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +14.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.9% Odds: 2.15 +56.7%

Over 3.5 52.4% Odds: 3.85 +101.7%

BTTS 72.1% Odds: 1.80 +29.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Lusitania FC

1.96

FC Porto B

1.83

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +56.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+101.7%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.07)