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Pharco vs Haras El Hodood Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League logo Egypt flag Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 4 Borg El Arab Stadium· Alexandria Monday, April 13, 2026
Pharco logo Pharco PPG 0.82
VS PENDING
Haras El Hodood logo Haras El Hodood PPG 0.45
Away· +20.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pharco face Haras El Hodood in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pharco a 34% chance, the draw 32% and Haras El Hodood 34%, so Pharco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Pharco and 0.9 for Haras El Hodood (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pharco are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 0.45 for Haras El Hodood. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.2%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -18.6%
Draw 32.3%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -17.6%
Away 33.5%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +20.6%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 11.8% Odds: —
BTTS 36.6% Odds: —

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Pharco
0.93
Haras El Hodood
0.92

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 4.4%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.82) > Away POOR (0.45)

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