Today / Egypt - Premier League / Pharco vs Haras El Hodood

Pharco vs Haras El Hodood Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 4 ·Monday, April 13, 2026

Pharco

PPG 0.82 · HOME

UPCOMING

Haras El Hodood

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.6%0-114.4%0-26.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.6%1-113.5%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.8%2-16.3%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-12.0%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% 42.0% 2.38 -18.6%

Draw 32.3% 39.2% 2.55 -17.6%

Away win 33.5% 27.8% 3.60 +20.6%

Over 2.5 28.4% — — —

Over 3.5 11.8% — — —

BTTS 36.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob36.6%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.6%

#2 1–0 14.6%

#3 0–1 14.4%

#4 1–1 13.5%

#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pharco0.9

Haras El Hodood0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.4% · O3.5 PROB 11.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PHARCO · PPG 0.82

HARAS EL HODOOD · PPG 0.45

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.82) > Away POOR (0.45)

Win probability 1X2

Pharco (H) 34.2%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -18.6%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -17.6%

Haras El Hodood (A) 33.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pharco face Haras El Hodood in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pharco a 34% chance, the draw 32% and Haras El Hodood 34%, so Pharco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Pharco and 0.9 for Haras El Hodood (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pharco are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 0.45 for Haras El Hodood. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.6%.

Pharco vs Haras El Hodood Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions