Pharco PPG 0.82
Haras El Hodood PPG 0.45Pharco face Haras El Hodood in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pharco a 34% chance, the draw 32% and Haras El Hodood 34%, so Pharco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Pharco and 0.9 for Haras El Hodood (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pharco are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 0.45 for Haras El Hodood. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.6%.
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.82) > Away POOR (0.45)