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Benevento vs Cavese Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C logo Italy flag Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 36 Stadio Ciro Vigorito· Benevento Monday, April 13, 2026
Benevento logo Benevento PPG 2.65
VS PENDING
Cavese logo Cavese PPG 0.76
Over3.5· +40.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Benevento face Cavese in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Benevento a 86% chance, the draw 10% and Cavese 4%, so Benevento are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Benevento and 0.5 for Cavese (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Benevento are averaging 2.65 points per game versus 0.76 for Cavese. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +40.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.2%
Odds: 1.55 EV: +33.6%
Draw 9.8%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -65.7%
Away 4.0%
Odds: 5.80 EV: -76.8%
Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.0% Odds: 1.80 +24.2%
Over 3.5 47.6% Odds: 2.95 +40.4%
BTTS 39.8% Odds: 1.80 -28.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Benevento
3.02
Cavese
0.54

Model Suggestion

Home +33.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+40.4%)

League Track Record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 57%
ROI -20.6%
Bet Hit 43% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.65), Away POOR (0.76) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org