Jong Ajax vs TOP Oss Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Jong Ajax PPG 1.18

VS PENDING

TOP Oss PPG 1.00

Home· +1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jong Ajax face TOP Oss in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jong Ajax a 47% chance, the draw 25% and TOP Oss 28%, so Jong Ajax are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Jong Ajax and 1.2 for TOP Oss (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jong Ajax are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.00 for TOP Oss. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.3%

Odds: 2.15 EV: +1.7%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -5.7%

Away 28.2%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -18.2%

Model lean: BTTS

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.6% Odds: 1.50 -19.6%

Over 3.5 31.3% Odds: 2.25 -29.6%

BTTS 56.1% Odds: 1.42 -20.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-0

3rd 2-1

4th 2-0

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Jong Ajax

1.62

TOP Oss

1.20

Model SuggestionBTTS -20.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.00)