Al Shamal vs Qatar SC Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Qatar - Stars League Regular Season - 17 Al Bayt Stadium· Al Khor Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Al Shamal PPG 1.80

VS PENDING

Qatar SC PPG 1.20

Home· -6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Shamal face Qatar SC in Qatar - Stars League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Shamal a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Qatar SC 23%, so Al Shamal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Shamal and 1.0 for Qatar SC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Shamal are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.20 for Qatar SC.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.0%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -6.4%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -6.8%

Away 22.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -20.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 24.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 48.7% Odds: 1.55 -24.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 2-0

4th 2-1

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Shamal

1.58

Qatar SC

0.95

Model SuggestionHome -6.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 83%

O2.5/Under 83%

BTTS/No 83%

Score Hit 50%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)