Bogota face Orsomarso in Colombia - Primera B on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bogota a 44% chance, the draw 25% and Orsomarso 31%, so Bogota are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bogota and 1.2 for Orsomarso (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bogota are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Orsomarso. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.8%.
Based on 4 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)