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Bogota vs Orsomarso Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Colombia - Primera B Monday, April 13, 2026
Bogota PPG 1.00
VS PENDING
Orsomarso PPG 1.29
Over3.5· +18.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bogota face Orsomarso in Colombia - Primera B on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bogota a 44% chance, the draw 25% and Orsomarso 31%, so Bogota are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bogota and 1.2 for Orsomarso (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bogota are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Orsomarso. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.7%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -10.4%
Draw 25.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -21.6%
Away 31.0%
Odds: 3.55 EV: +10.1%
Model lean: BTTS

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.9% Odds: 2.20 +14.2%
Over 3.5 29.7% Odds: 4.00 +18.8%
BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.85 +2.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 0-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Bogota
1.51
Orsomarso
1.24

Model Suggestion

BTTS +2.5% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+18.8%)

League Track Record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org