Today / Newcastle U21 vs Wolves U21
Newcastle U21 vs Wolves U21 Prediction
Monday, April 13, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 54% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 56%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.2% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%
Form & verdict
NEWCASTLE U21 · PPG 1.11
WOLVES U21 · PPG 1.11
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.11), Away AVERAGE (1.11)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Newcastle U21 face Wolves U21 on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle U21 a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Wolves U21 23%, so Newcastle U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Newcastle U21 and 1.1 for Wolves U21 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle U21 are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.11 for Wolves U21.