Valladolid vs Eibar Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 35 Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla· Valladolid Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Valladolid PPG 1.29

VS PENDING

Eibar PPG 0.88

Home· -5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Valladolid face Eibar in Spain - Segunda División on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valladolid a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Eibar 30%, so Valladolid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Valladolid and 1.0 for Eibar (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valladolid are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.88 for Eibar.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.6%

Odds: 2.34 EV: -5.0%

Draw 29.6%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -6.8%

Away 29.8%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -9.1%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.6% Odds: 2.25 -19.9%

Over 3.5 16.5% Odds: 4.20 -30.7%

BTTS 42.3% Odds: 1.90 -19.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 0-0

4th 0-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid

1.17

Eibar

0.95

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.88)