Today / England - Premier League 2 Division One / Leeds Utd U21 vs Leicester U21
Leeds Utd U21 vs Leicester U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One
Monday, April 13, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 58.5% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 52% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 58%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.7%
Form & verdict
LEEDS UTD U21 · PPG 0.78
LEICESTER U21 · PPG 1.56
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.78)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Leeds Utd U21 face Leicester U21 in England - Premier League 2 Division One on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leeds Utd U21 a 25% chance, the draw 23% and Leicester U21 52%, so Leicester U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Leeds Utd U21 and 1.8 for Leicester U21 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leeds Utd U21 are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.56 for Leicester U21. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.2%.