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Leeds Utd U21 vs Leicester U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

England - Premier League 2 Division One Monday, April 13, 2026
Leeds Utd U21 PPG 0.78
VS PENDING
Leicester U21 PPG 1.56
Away· +1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Leeds Utd U21 face Leicester U21 in England - Premier League 2 Division One on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leeds Utd U21 a 25% chance, the draw 23% and Leicester U21 52%, so Leicester U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Leeds Utd U21 and 1.8 for Leicester U21 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leeds Utd U21 are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.56 for Leicester U21. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.1%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -34.2%
Draw 23.0%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -8.0%
Away 51.9%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +1.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 35.7% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.36 -20.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Leeds Utd U21
1.20
Leicester U21
1.82

Model Suggestion

BTTS -20.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-20.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.78)

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