Football predictions today · Sun 5 Jul

176 graded O2.5 59% BTTS 57% 1X2 56% Full record →

USA - USL Championship Group Stage 6 League predictions →

00:30

FC Tulsa 1.57 ppg

Sacramento R. 1.00 ppg

44.5% +11.3%

28.3% -7.4%

27.2% -16.8%

No bet

O2.5 44.3% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

2–0

Pending

01:00

Colorado S. 1.33 ppg

Phoenix Rising 1.14 ppg

48.1% -19.2%

24.5% -6.3%

27.4% +11.2%

BTTS

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 62.1%

Score

2–1

3–1

Hit

01:00

San Antonio 2.33 ppg

Monterey Bay 0.17 ppg

57.5% +6.4%

22.4% -15.0%

20.1% -14.8%

Home

+6.4%

O2.5 54.4% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

2–1

0–0

Miss

01:30

New Mexico 1.83 ppg

Oakland Roots 1.50 ppg

46.0% +12.7%

26.0% -5.4%

28.0% -18.8%

BTTS

O2.5 54.1% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

Hit

02:30

Las Vegas L. 1.83 ppg

El Paso 1.57 ppg

43.8% +2.1%

23.2% -11.3%

33.0% -14.2%

O2.5

+3.5%

O2.5 63.9% · BTTS 62.1%

Score

3–1

1–2

Hit

23:00

Miami FC 1.67 ppg

Birmingham L. 1.00 ppg

42.1% -1.1%

24.4% -9.5%

33.5% -12.9%

BTTS

O2.5 57.9% · BTTS 60.0%

Score

2–1

Pending

USA - NWSL Group Stage 4 League predictions →

00:45

San Diego W. W 1.50 ppg

Gotham FC W 2.25 ppg

31.6% -14.7%

32.2% -0.2%

36.2% -11.3%

No bet

O2.5 34.9% · BTTS 46.5%

Score

1–1

2–0

Skipped

16:00

Boston Legacy W 1.00 ppg

Bay FC W 1.20 ppg

48.2%

26.7%

25.1%

— no odds —

BTTS

O2.5 49.7% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

2–1

Pending

21:00

Chicago RS W 1.00 ppg

Utah Royals W 1.71 ppg

12.9% -17.4%

21.5% -11.6%

65.7% +0.5%

Away

+0.5%

O2.5 49.7% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

0–2

Pending

23:00

Portland T. W 2.33 ppg

R. Louisville W 0.00 ppg

61.4% -6.1%

20.1% -10.5%

18.5% -3.4%

O2.5

+5.4%

O2.5 63.9% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

3–1

Pending

Australia - NPL Tasmania Regular Season - 14 1 League predictions →

04:30

South East Utd 1.00 ppg

South Hobart 2.43 ppg

10.5% +122.7%

9.0% -7.3%

80.5% -17.9%

O2.5

O2.5 81.7% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

1–4

1–0

Miss

Australia - NPL New South Wales Regular Season - 22 4 League predictions →

05:00

Blacktown City 0.70 ppg

Sydney Utd 1.90 ppg

21.7% -16.4%

23.7% -11.7%

54.6% +6.5%

Away

+6.5%

O2.5 54.1% · BTTS 54.6%

Score

1–2

0–0

Miss

05:00

Marconi S. 2.56 ppg

S George Saints 0.91 ppg

62.0% -20.6%

19.7% -5.6%

18.4% +50.4%

Home

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

3–0

2–0

Hit

05:00

Rockdale 1.50 ppg

NWS Spirit 0.90 ppg

45.6% -8.8%

26.5% -6.7%

27.8% -5.0%

BTTS

O2.5 51.7% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

1–1

Hit

05:00

Wollongong W. 1.56 ppg

St George City 0.67 ppg

48.8% +4.9%

27.1% -8.0%

24.1% -15.2%

No bet

O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

2–0

3–3

Skipped

Australia - NPL Queensland Regular Season - 17 2 League predictions →

05:00

Gold C. Utd 0.50 ppg

Magic United 0.57 ppg

49.0% -14.2%

23.1% -3.2%

27.9% -0.6%

O2.5

O2.5 63.9% · BTTS 62.1%

Score

2–1

1–3

Hit

05:45

Brisbane City 1.00 ppg

Brisbane Roar B 0.38 ppg

56.5% -9.6%

19.9% -6.3%

23.6% -3.4%

O2.5

O2.5 75.5% · BTTS 69.1%

Score

3–2

1–1

Miss

Australia - NPL Victoria Regular Season - 19 1 League predictions →

05:30

South Melbourne 0.67 ppg

Dandenong T. 0.67 ppg

55.9% -34.6%

20.8% +21.1%

23.3% +107.8%

O2.5

O2.5 67.8% · BTTS 63.3%

Score

3–1

1–0

Miss

South Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 16 3 League predictions →

10:30

Gimcheon Sangmu 0.57 ppg

Jeju Utd 1.43 ppg

31.0% -22.5%

29.3% -2.0%

39.6% +8.9%

No bet

O2.5 44.3% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

1–1

Pending

10:30

Gwangju 0.71 ppg

Ulsan 1.86 ppg

12.7% -6.7%

20.6% -9.3%

66.7% -1.3%

Away

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

1–2

Pending

10:30

Seoul 1.67 ppg

Incheon Utd 1.71 ppg

47.2% -10.3%

25.1% -8.8%

27.8% +6.7%

BTTS

O2.5 49.7% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

2–1

Pending

South Korea - K League 2 Regular Season - 16 4 League predictions →

10:30

Gimhae 0.00 ppg

Seoul E-Land 1.86 ppg

15.9% -8.5%

22.7% -6.9%

61.4% -4.8%

Away

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

1–2

Pending

10:30

Gimpo 1.00 ppg

Asan 1.00 ppg

45.1% -17.5%

26.8% -6.1%

28.1% +9.1%

BTTS

+0.1%

O2.5 50.6% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

Pending

10:30

Gyeongnam 1.38 ppg

Cheonan City 1.33 ppg

34.5% -12.0%

24.3% -14.8%

41.2% +9.2%

BTTS

+11.4%

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 61.9%

Score

1–2

Pending

10:30

Jeonnam 0.33 ppg

Busan IPark 2.14 ppg

21.6% -17.2%

21.5% -17.4%

56.9% +16.6%

O2.5

+15.0%

O2.5 63.9% · BTTS 58.8%

Score

1–3

Pending

China - Super League Regular Season - 17 2 League predictions →

11:00

Qingdao Hainiu 2.00 ppg

Chengdu 2.38 ppg

34.7% +83.9%

23.9% -1.2%

41.4% -37.1%

O2.5

+0.8%

O2.5 62.2% · BTTS 62.1%

Score

1–2

Pending

—

S. Shenhua 1.75 ppg

Zhejiang 1.25 ppg

57.7%

22.2%

20.1%

— no odds —

O2.5

O2.5 66.9% · BTTS 62.1%

Score

3–1

Pending

Finland - Kakkonen Group B Group B 1 League predictions →

11:00

Ilves B 1.75 ppg

EPS 1.20 ppg

54.1% -17.2%

21.6% -3.9%

24.2% +1.0%

O2.5

O2.5 71.4% · BTTS 69.1%

Score

3–2

Pending

China - League One Regular Season - 13 3 League predictions →

11:30

Guangxi H. 2.20 ppg

Dalian Kuncheng 1.20 ppg

49.0% -9.3%

25.2% -10.9%

25.8% +1.1%

BTTS

O2.5 54.1% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

Pending

11:30

Meizhou Hakka 0.67 ppg

Changchun Yatai 1.17 ppg

33.0% -10.9%

22.5% -14.8%

44.6% +3.9%

O2.5

+10.5%

O2.5 63.9% · BTTS 63.1%

Score

1–3

Pending

—

Nanjing City 1.67 ppg

Foshan Nanshi 1.60 ppg

47.4%

26.7%

25.9%

— no odds —

BTTS

O2.5 49.7% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

1–1

Pending

Finland - Ykkonen Group Stage 2 League predictions →

12:00

TPV 1.00 ppg

JJK 2.00 ppg

21.6% -5.6%

20.8% -10.1%

57.5% -6.9%

O2.5

O2.5 67.1% · BTTS 63.3%

Score

1–3

Pending

—

Rovaniemi 1.83 ppg

PKKU 1.67 ppg

47.1%

25.1%

27.8%

— no odds —

O2.5

O2.5 57.4% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

Pending

Sweden - Allsvenskan Regular Season - 11 3 League predictions →

12:00

IFK Goteborg 0.50 ppg

AIK 1.20 ppg

36.0% -22.6%

25.2% -5.6%

38.8% +16.4%

O2.5

+6.6%

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 60.0%

Score

1–2

Pending

12:00

Kalmar 2.00 ppg

Orgryte 0.60 ppg

61.1% -8.3%

20.4% -7.0%

18.4% +6.2%

Home

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

2–1

Pending

14:30

Elfsborg 2.00 ppg

Hammarby 0.80 ppg

48.8% +80.6%

25.1% -7.3%

26.0% -31.1%

BTTS

O2.5 54.0% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

Pending

Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 22 1 League predictions →

13:00

Grobina 0.64 ppg

Tukums 0.40 ppg

39.7% -18.6%

25.2% -8.6%

35.2% +9.1%

BTTS

O2.5 54.9% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

1–2

Pending

Brazil - Serie C Regular Season - 13 1 League predictions →

14:00

Ypiranga 1.50 ppg

Paysandu 1.80 ppg

43.8% -1.5%

26.6% -8.9%

29.6% -7.6%

BTTS

O2.5 52.7% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

Pending

FaroeIslands - Premier League Regular Season - 16 1 League predictions →

14:00

07 Vestur 0.86 ppg

HB Torshavn 1.50 ppg

23.7% +21.8%

23.9% -2.6%

52.4% -22.4%

O2.5

O2.5 60.9% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

1–2

Pending

Norway - 1st Division Regular Season - 14 1 League predictions →

14:00

Odd 2.00 ppg

Haugesund 1.71 ppg

53.0% +24.6%

19.7% -15.7%

27.3% -19.9%

O2.5

+0.7%

O2.5 75.7% · BTTS 69.1%

Score

3–2

Pending

Belarus - Vysshaya Liga Regular Season - 14 2 League predictions →

15:00

Belshina 1.43 ppg

Baranovichi 1.00 ppg

45.4%

25.0%

29.6%

— no odds —

BTTS

O2.5 54.1% · BTTS 55.6%

Score

2–1

Pending

17:55

T. Zhodino 1.50 ppg

Isloch 1.43 ppg

44.2% +10.5%

27.9% -11.8%

27.8% -16.3%

BTTS

O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 50.3%

Score

1–1

Pending

Finland - Kakkonen Group C Group C 1 League predictions →

15:00

VPS B 1.20 ppg

Huima/Urho 1.40 ppg

47.6% -21.0%

17.7% -14.9%

34.7% +19.7%

O2.5

O2.5 81.7% · BTTS 74.2%

Score

3–2

Pending

Canada - Premier League Group Stage 2 League predictions →

17:00

Supra du Quebec 1.40 ppg

Forge 2.40 ppg

22.7% +0.6%

25.7% -5.3%

51.6% -11.3%

BTTS

O2.5 50.1% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

1–1

Pending

22:00

Pacific 0.17 ppg

HFX Wanderers 0.67 ppg

34.1% -18.8%

24.0% -10.3%

41.9% +9.8%

O2.5

+6.3%

O2.5 62.5% · BTTS 62.1%

Score

1–2

Pending

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 19 10 League predictions →

18:00

CA Estudiantes 1.50 ppg

Racing Cordoba 0.56 ppg

49.5% -8.4%

29.4% -10.6%

21.0% +0.5%

No bet

O2.5 38.6% · BTTS 46.5%

Score

2–0

Pending

18:00

D. Madryn 1.78 ppg

Colon Santa Fe 1.11 ppg

45.2% +1.7%

27.9% -12.3%

26.9% -6.7%

No bet

O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

2–0

Pending

18:30

Chaco For Ever 1.00 ppg

Acassuso 0.56 ppg

45.6% +0.3%

29.4% -10.6%

25.0% -8.3%

No bet

O2.5 38.6% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

2–0

Pending

18:30

Ferro Carril 1.63 ppg

San Telmo 0.75 ppg

49.8% -20.3%

29.9% -2.6%

20.3% +13.1%

No bet

O2.5 34.9% · BTTS 44.6%

Score

2–0

Pending

18:30

Patronato 1.44 ppg

SM Tucuman 1.00 ppg

43.5% +0.1%

33.0% -10.9%

23.6% -11.2%

No bet

O2.5 31.7% · BTTS 44.6%

Score

2–0

Pending

19:00

Atletico Mitre 1.25 ppg

All Boys 0.44 ppg

48.8% +2.5%

27.0% -16.3%

24.3% -3.1%

No bet

O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

2–0

Pending

19:00

Midland 1.89 ppg

Gimnasia Jujuy 1.22 ppg

46.3% +7.9%

25.5% -16.4%

28.2% -5.9%

BTTS

+3.0%

O2.5 49.8% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

2–1

Pending

19:30

Central Norte 1.25 ppg

San Miguel 1.00 ppg

40.3%

31.8%

27.9%

— no odds —

No bet

O2.5 34.9% · BTTS 44.6%

Score

2–0

Pending

19:30

Deportivo Maipu 1.78 ppg

Agropecuario 0.67 ppg

56.1% +17.8%

24.3% -16.3%

19.6% -18.8%

Home

+17.8%

O2.5 49.7% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

3–0

Pending

—

SM San Juan 1.88 ppg

Chacarita J. 0.25 ppg

54.6%

25.4%

20.1%

— no odds —

Home

O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

2–0

Pending

Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 17 1 League predictions →

18:00

Macara 1.38 ppg

LDU Quito 1.63 ppg

31.5% -3.9%

30.0% -4.0%

38.5% -9.9%

No bet

O2.5 38.6% · BTTS 47.2%

Score

1–1

Pending

Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 16 1 League predictions →

23:30

Nautico 1.29 ppg

Juventude 1.14 ppg

35.5% -20.5%

30.9% -4.2%

33.6% +12.6%

No bet

O2.5 40.4% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

1–1

Pending

Australia - NPL Capital Territory 1 League predictions →

—

C. Croatia 2.40 ppg

C. Olympic 1.13 ppg

68.3%

17.3%

14.4%

— no odds —

O2.5

O2.5 81.7% · BTTS 69.1%

Score

4–1

Pending

Estonia - Meistriliiga 1 League predictions →

—

Tammeka 1.44 ppg

Harju JK 1.13 ppg

52.1%

24.6%

23.3%

— no odds —

BTTS

O2.5 50.2% · BTTS 52.8%

Score

2–1

Pending

Finland - Ykkosliga 1 League predictions →

—

Mikkelin 1.40 ppg

Haka 2.00 ppg

23.5%

30.6%

45.9%

— no odds —

No bet

O2.5 42.4% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

0–2

Pending

How the model calls it

01 · Strength

Attack and defence ratings per team from recent form, weighted by opposition — the inputs behind expected goals.

02 · Poisson

Goal expectancies become a full scoreline matrix: win, draw, Over 2.5, BTTS and top correct scores from one distribution.

03 · Edge

Model probability vs live bookmaker odds. A positive gap is value, flagged on every outcome as +EV%. No edge, no bet.

Questions, answered straight

How accurate are these football predictions?

Every pick is graded automatically at full time and kept on the public record. The full history, including losing days, is on the Accuracy page.

What is a value bet?

A bet where the model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. If the model says 49% and the odds imply 34%, that gap is the edge — shown as +EV% next to each outcome. Value bets can still lose; the point is being paid more than the risk is worth over hundreds of bets.

How does a Poisson model predict matches?

It estimates how many goals each team is expected to score from attack and defence strength, then computes the probability of every scoreline. Summing those scorelines gives win/draw/loss, Over/Under and BTTS probabilities from a single consistent model.

Are the predictions free?

Yes — every match, every league, every day.

Why does the model say "No bet" on some matches?

When no outcome clears the confidence threshold, the model passes. Skipping bad spots is part of how the hit rate stays honest — a tip site that picks every match is selling volume, not edge.

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