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CA Estudiantes vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, July 5, 2026, 18:00

CA Estudiantes

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Racing Cordoba

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.7%0-110.1%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.7%1-112.0%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-17.1%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.6%3-12.8%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 54.1% 1.85 -8.4%

Draw 29.4% 35.7% 2.80 -10.6%

Away win 21.0% 20.8% 4.80 +0.5%

Over 2.5 38.6% 29.9% 3.35 +29.3%

Over 3.5 19.0% 12.5% 8.00 +31.2%

BTTS 46.5% 36.4% 2.75 +27.9%

Home O1.5 36.0% 37.7% 2.65 -4.6%

Away O1.5 18.0% 16.7% 6.00 +4.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 147 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -11.1%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.5%

H 50% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.7%

#2 1–0 19.7%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CA Estudiantes1.2

Racing Cordoba0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.6% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CA ESTUDIANTES · PPG 1.50

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 0.56

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=49.5%

Win probability 1X2

CA Estudiantes (H) 49.5%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -8.4%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.6%

Racing Cordoba (A) 21.0%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

CA Estudiantes face Racing Cordoba in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CA Estudiantes a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Racing Cordoba 21%, so CA Estudiantes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for CA Estudiantes and 0.6 for Racing Cordoba (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CA Estudiantes are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.56 for Racing Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +31.2%.

CA Estudiantes vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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