Ykkonen

FINLAND · 14 MATCHES TRACKED · 5 JUL 2026 – 20 JUL 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 11 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

54.5%

1X2

6/11

63.6%

O/U 2.5

7/11

72.7%

BTTS

8/11

36.4%

Exact score

4/11

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

50.0%

Hit rate

4/8

1.36

Avg odds

-34.6%

ROI

-2.8u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=6 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.35 · -12.8% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · -100.0% ROI

BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

33%

Hit

-55.7%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

50%

Hit

-36.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

67%

Hit

-12.7%

ROI

Match log

11 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 11 PICKS · 7 HIT · 4 MISS

18 JUL PKKU vs OLS Oulu Over 2.5 -15% 1–1 MISS 18 JUL TPV vs KuPS Ak. Over 2.5 -15% 3–1 HIT 18 JUL VJS vs Tampere Utd BTTS -22% 0–1 MISS 18 JUL Inter Turku B vs SalPa Over 2.5 -12% 1–2 HIT 18 JUL JJK vs Jazz Pori Over 2.5 1–3 HIT 11 JUL JJK vs KuPS Ak. Over 2.5 +2% 4–4 HIT 11 JUL VJS vs OLS Oulu Over 2.5 -18% 4–3 HIT 11 JUL KPV Kokkola vs TPV Over 2.5 1–3 HIT 11 JUL PKKU vs Jazz Pori BTTS 2–1 HIT 10 JUL Tampere Utd vs SalPa Over 2.5 -2% 0–1 MISS 5 JUL TPV vs JJK AO1.5 1–0 MISS