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T. Zhodino vs Isloch Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, July 5, 2026, 17:55

T. Zhodino

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Isloch

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.3% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-110.9%0-25.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.3%1-113.2%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.7%2-18.0%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.3%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% 40.0% 2.50 +10.5%

Draw 27.9% 34.7% 2.88 -11.8%

Away win 27.8% 38.2% 2.62 -16.3%

Over 2.5 47.1% 44.4% 2.25 +6.0%

Over 3.5 28.3% 25.3% 3.96 +7.2%

BTTS 50.3% 54.1% 1.85 -6.9%

Home O1.5 40.0% 36.0% 2.78 +11.2%

Away O1.5 23.8% 35.5% 2.82 -19.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.3%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.7%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Zhodino1.2

Isloch0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

T. ZHODINO · PPG 1.50

ISLOCH · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

T. Zhodino (H) 44.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +10.5%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.8%

Isloch (A) 27.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -16.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Zhodino face Isloch in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Zhodino a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Isloch 28%, so T. Zhodino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for T. Zhodino and 0.9 for Isloch (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Zhodino are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.43 for Isloch. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +11.2%.

T. Zhodino vs Isloch Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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