Serie B
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
Upcoming Serie B predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
3 SEPT23:00 Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP — NO PICK — — —4 SEPT22:30 Criciuma vs Cuiaba — NO PICK — — —4 SEPT23:30 Athletic Club vs Vila Nova Over 2.5 51% 2.45 +24%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 171 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
45.0%
1X2
77/171
55.0%
O/U 2.5
94/171
52.6%
BTTS
90/171
57.9%
Exact score
99/171
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
43
Settled
58.1%
Hit rate
25/43
2.08
Avg odds
+18.7%
ROI
+8.0u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=22 54.5% HIT · AVG 1.93 · +4.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=8 62.5% HIT · AVG 1.95 · +17.1% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=7 42.9% HIT · AVG 2.10 · -11.4% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=5 80.0% HIT · AVG 2.99 · +120.4% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +57.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
5
Bets
40%
Hit
-13.6%
ROI
✓ Solid
6
Bets
67%
Hit
+18.2%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
28
Bets
61%
Hit
+17.6%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
50%
Hit
+67.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 0 PICKS · 0 HIT · 0 MISS
1 SEPT Londrina vs Juventude — NO PICK 0–0 —August 2026 // 9 PICKS · 7 HIT · 2 MISS
31 AUG Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR Home -7% 1–1 MISS30 AUG Avai vs Atletico Goianiense — NO PICK 0–1 —30 AUG America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta BTTS +24% 2–0 MISS30 AUG CRB vs Criciuma — NO PICK 2–1 —30 AUG Vila Nova vs Ceara Home +11% 2–0 HIT29 AUG Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba — NO PICK 1–2 —28 AUG Goias vs São Bernardo BTTS +2% 2–1 HIT28 AUG Nautico Recife vs Athletic Club BTTS -7% 2–1 HIT28 AUG Novorizontino vs Sport Recife BTTS +2% 2–1 HIT25 AUG Juventude vs CRB Home -1% 2–1 HIT25 AUG Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP — NO PICK 3–0 —24 AUG Sport Recife vs America Mineiro Home +7% 3–0 HIT24 AUG Athletic Club vs Novorizontino — NO PICK 1–4 —23 AUG São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife BTTS -2% 1–1 HIT