Leagues / AUSTRALIA / NPL New South Wales

NPL New South Wales

AUSTRALIA · 4 MATCHES TRACKED · 5 JUL 2026 – 5 JUL 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 4 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

25.0%

1X2

1/4

0.0%

O/U 2.5

0/4

50.0%

BTTS

2/4

75.0%

Exact score

3/4

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

33.3%

Hit rate

1/3

1.79

Avg odds

-57.3%

ROI

-1.7u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.72 · -36.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.95 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

50%

Hit

-36.0%

ROI

Match log

4 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 3 PICKS · 2 HIT · 1 MISS

5 JUL Blacktown City vs Sydney Utd Away +6% 0–0 MISS 5 JUL Marconi S. vs S George Saints Home -21% 2–0 HIT 5 JUL Rockdale vs NWS Spirit BTTS -17% 1–1 HIT 5 JUL Wollongong W. vs St George City — NO PICK 3–3 —