Leagues / SOUTH KOREA / K League 1
K League 1
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 62 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
33.9%
1X2
21/62
48.4%
O/U 2.5
30/62
45.2%
BTTS
28/62
53.2%
Exact score
33/62
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
17
Settled
41.2%
Hit rate
7/17
1.88
Avg odds
-23.8%
ROI
-4.0u
Picks by market
AWAY WIN · N=8 62.5% HIT · AVG 1.90 · +13.1% ROI
BTTS · N=3 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.96 · -100.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.76 · -100.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.95 · +95.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -100.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+8.3%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
12
Bets
42%
Hit
-19.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 11 PICKS · 7 HIT · 4 MISS
30 AUG Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers BTTS +8% 0–0 MISS30 AUG Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul Away +9% 2–5 HIT30 AUG Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors — NO PICK 1–1 —30 AUG Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen BTTS -7% 3–1 HIT29 AUG Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC BTTS -16% 3–1 HIT29 AUG Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang BTTS -8% 1–1 HIT26 AUG Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC Home -15% 2–2 MISS26 AUG Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC BTTS -15% 2–1 HIT26 AUG FC Anyang vs Incheon United Over 2.5 +20% 2–1 HIT25 AUG Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers — NO PICK 1–2 —25 AUG Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors — NO PICK 0–0 —25 AUG FC Seoul vs Bucheon FC 1995 BTTS +0% 1–0 MISS23 AUG Gwangju FC vs Incheon United Away +17% 0–1 HIT23 AUG Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC BTTS -10% 3–0 MISS22 AUG Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC — NO PICK 0–0 —