Leagues / CHINA / Super League
Super League
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 109 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
37.6%
1X2
41/109
56.9%
O/U 2.5
62/109
65.1%
BTTS
71/109
34.9%
Exact score
38/109
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
25
Settled
52.0%
Hit rate
13/25
1.75
Avg odds
-10.7%
ROI
-2.7u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=14 42.9% HIT · AVG 1.72 · -28.3% ROI
BTTS · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.72 · -2.4% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.63 · +7.3% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.88 · -100.0% ROI
OVER 3.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.55 · +155.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.63 · +63.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+94.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
14
Bets
43%
Hit
-30.1%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
5
Bets
80%
Hit
+34.4%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 14 PICKS · 8 HIT · 6 MISS
29 AUG Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns BTTS -9% 1–5 HIT29 AUG Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Over 2.5 -7% 6–0 HIT29 AUG Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island BTTS -9% 1–1 HIT29 AUG Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban Over 2.5 -9% 2–1 HIT29 AUG Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — NO PICK 1–1 —28 AUG Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan Over 2.5 -12% 1–1 MISS28 AUG Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng Over 2.5 -13% 2–3 HIT28 AUG Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG BTTS -14% 0–1 MISS23 AUG Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye BTTS -14% 4–4 HIT23 AUG SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon HO1.5 2–1 HIT23 AUG Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing Over 2.5 +5% 0–1 MISS22 AUG Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda BTTS -6% 0–0 MISS22 AUG Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Over 2.5 -4% 1–1 MISS22 AUG Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua HO1.5 4–5 HIT22 AUG Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng BTTS -23% 2–0 MISS