Leagues / SWEDEN / Allsvenskan
Allsvenskan
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 42 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
52.4%
1X2
22/42
73.8%
O/U 2.5
31/42
61.9%
BTTS
26/42
40.5%
Exact score
17/42
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
38
Settled
68.4%
Hit rate
26/38
1.70
Avg odds
+12.1%
ROI
+4.6u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=17 52.9% HIT · AVG 1.72 · -11.0% ROI
BTTS · N=11 90.9% HIT · AVG 1.63 · +48.6% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.71 · +71.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.15 · -100.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.41 · +41.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.45 · +45.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
7
Bets
43%
Hit
-27.3%
ROI
✓ Solid
9
Bets
89%
Hit
+33.1%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
10
Bets
60%
Hit
+4.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
12
Bets
75%
Hit
+25.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 14 PICKS · 9 HIT · 5 MISS
19 JUL Halmstad vs Hacken Over 2.5 +3% 0–2 MISS19 JUL Hammarby vs Degerfors Home -21% 4–0 HIT19 JUL Elfsborg vs Sirius BTTS -8% 1–3 HIT18 JUL AIK vs GAIS BTTS -15% 2–0 MISS17 JUL Mjallby vs Vasteras Over 2.5 +7% 0–0 MISS17 JUL IFK Goteborg vs Brommapojkarna Over 2.5 +3% 2–1 HIT13 JUL Djurgarden vs Halmstad HO1.5 3–0 HIT12 JUL Vasteras vs Degerfors Over 2.5 +28% 2–0 MISS12 JUL Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg HO1.5 4–0 HIT12 JUL Hammarby vs Kalmar Over 2.5 -5% 2–0 MISS12 JUL GAIS vs Elfsborg — NO PICK 1–0 —12 JUL Brommapojkarna vs Sirius Over 2.5 +3% 1–2 HIT11 JUL Mjallby vs AIK BTTS -7% 1–2 HIT11 JUL Orgryte vs Hacken AO1.5 4–3 HIT6 JUL Brommapojkarna vs GAIS BTTS -13% 1–1 HIT