Leagues / SWEDEN / Allsvenskan
Allsvenskan
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Allsvenskan predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
3 SEPT17:00 Mjallby AIF vs Djurgardens IF BTTS 61% 1.57 -4%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 89 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
49.4%
1X2
44/89
62.9%
O/U 2.5
56/89
53.9%
BTTS
48/89
41.6%
Exact score
37/89
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
37
Settled
54.1%
Hit rate
20/37
1.72
Avg odds
-9.4%
ROI
-3.5u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=27 55.6% HIT · AVG 1.69 · -7.4% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.76 · +37.8% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.15 · -100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.56 · -27.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +57.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
6
Bets
33%
Hit
-42.2%
ROI
✓ Solid
7
Bets
71%
Hit
+12.9%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
19
Bets
53%
Hit
-9.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-1.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 8 HIT · 7 MISS
31 AUG Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5 -18% 4–0 HIT31 AUG Djurgardens IF vs Mjallby AIF HO1.5 4–0 HIT31 AUG Sirius vs Malmo FF Over 2.5 +3% 0–1 MISS30 AUG AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF Over 2.5 -9% 3–2 HIT30 AUG IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS Over 2.5 -1% 1–0 MISS29 AUG IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF Home -17% 2–0 HIT29 AUG BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK HO1.5 1–3 MISS29 AUG Halmstad vs Kalmar FF BTTS -13% 1–0 MISS24 AUG Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF Over 2.5 +7% 0–3 HIT23 AUG Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF Over 2.5 +10% 0–0 MISS23 AUG IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg BTTS -14% 1–1 HIT23 AUG IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF BTTS -7% 2–0 MISS23 AUG Hammarby FF vs Gais Home -13% 2–0 HIT22 AUG Orgryte IS vs Halmstad BTTS -11% 1–1 HIT21 AUG Sirius vs BK Hacken HO1.5 0–3 MISS