| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| F | 8 | 62.5% | −825.0% |
| Unrated | 1 | 100.0% | +3600.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | 5 | 80.0% | +1800.0% |
| Home | 3 | 33.3% | −5467.0% |
| BTTS | 1 | 100.0% | +4400.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV... | 2 | 100.0% | +4200.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @77% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @18% | 1 | 100.0% | +3600.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: BTTS @7% | 1 | 100.0% | +3600.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 100.0% | +4400.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @20% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @34% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value | 1 | 100.0% | +7000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Paide vs Kuressaare | Over 2.5 | -12% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 30 May | Vaprus vs Nomme Kalju | Away | -5% EV | 3-1 | MISS |
| 30 May | Tammeka vs Levadia | Away | -21% EV | 0-1 | HIT |
| 29 May | Nomme Utd vs Flora | Over 2.5 | 2% EV | 0-4 | HIT |
| 24 May | Vaprus vs Levadia | Away | -17% EV | 1-6 | HIT |
| 20 May | Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd | Over 2.5 | -2% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 20 May | Narva Trans vs Paide | Away | -4% EV | 1-0 | MISS |
| 17 May | Paide vs Levadia | Over 2.5 | 0% EV | 1-3 | HIT |
| 17 May | Kuressaare vs Nomme Kalju | Away | -15% EV | 0-2 | HIT |
| 16 May | Narva Trans vs Flora | Over 2.5 | -1% EV | 0-3 | HIT |
| 15 May | Tammeka vs Nomme Utd | Over 2.5 | -9% EV | 3-1 | HIT |
| 10 May | Nomme Kalju vs Flora | Over 2.5 | -0% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 10 May | Nomme Utd vs Paide | Over 2.5 | 6% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 9 May | Vaprus vs Narva Trans | Over 2.5 | 5% EV | 2-0 | MISS |
| 8 May | Tammeka vs Kuressaare | BTTS | -12% EV | 1-0 | MISS |
| 2 May | Kuressaare vs Levadia | Over 2.5 | — | 1-2 | HIT |
| 2 May | Vaprus vs Nomme Utd | BTTS | 4% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 1 May | Paide vs Tammeka | Home | -12% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Paide vs Flora | Home | — | 1-2 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Nomme Kalju vs Vaprus | Home | — | 1-2 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Levadia vs Narva Trans | Over 3.5 | — | 7-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare | Over 2.5 | — | 2-1 | HIT |
| 22 Apr | Nomme Kalju vs Nomme Utd | Home | 18% EV | 7-1 | HIT |
| 22 Apr | Tammeka vs Levadia | Over 2.5 | 4% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 22 Apr | Flora vs Narva Trans | Over 2.5 | — | 6-0 | HIT |
| 21 Apr | Kuressaare vs Vaprus | Over 2.5 | — | 0-1 | MISS |