Leagues / ESTONIA / Meistriliiga
Meistriliiga
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 67 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
58.2%
1X2
39/67
64.2%
O/U 2.5
43/67
62.7%
BTTS
42/67
38.8%
Exact score
26/67
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
14
Settled
71.4%
Hit rate
10/14
1.62
Avg odds
+9.7%
ROI
+1.4u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=9 88.9% HIT · AVG 1.58 · +39.6% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · -32.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · +44.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-32.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+26.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
7
Bets
86%
Hit
+27.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS
2 SEPT Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka HO1.5 3–2 HITAugust 2026 // 14 PICKS · 11 HIT · 3 MISS
30 AUG Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn BTTS -4% 2–3 HIT30 AUG Flora Tallinn vs Paide Over 2.5 -5% 1–2 HIT30 AUG Trans Narva vs Tammeka BTTS -18% 0–2 MISS29 AUG Nõmme United vs Laagri Over 2.5 -2% 1–2 HIT29 AUG Kuressaare vs Vaprus BTTS -12% 2–2 HIT26 AUG Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn BTTS -21% 3–1 HIT23 AUG Paide vs Nõmme United Over 2.5 -12% 4–1 HIT23 AUG Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn Over 2.5 -14% 1–2 HIT22 AUG Tammeka vs Kuressaare BTTS -14% 1–0 MISS22 AUG Laagri vs Kalju Nomme BTTS -18% 1–0 MISS21 AUG FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva HO1.5 4–0 HIT16 AUG Trans Narva vs Paide BTTS -2% 1–1 HIT16 AUG Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus Home -10% 3–1 HIT16 AUG Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn AO1.5 1–2 HIT