Leagues / CANADA / Premier League
Premier League
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 44 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
52.3%
1X2
23/44
56.8%
O/U 2.5
25/44
70.5%
BTTS
31/44
43.2%
Exact score
19/44
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
10
Settled
60.0%
Hit rate
6/10
1.70
Avg odds
+2.9%
ROI
+0.3u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=7 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.68 · +18.7% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · -1.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
50%
Hit
+0.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
6
Bets
67%
Hit
+5.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+98.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 14 PICKS · 9 HIT · 5 MISS
30 AUG Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC BTTS -13% 4–3 HIT29 AUG Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC Home -6% 1–0 HIT28 AUG Atlético Ottawa vs York United Over 2.5 -1% 2–1 HIT28 AUG Supra du Quebec vs Forge BTTS -8% 1–0 MISS23 AUG York United vs Supra du Quebec BTTS -3% 1–1 HIT22 AUG HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC BTTS -19% 1–0 MISS22 AUG Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa HO1.5 3–1 HIT22 AUG Forge vs Pacific FC HO1.5 2–0 HIT19 AUG Forge vs Supra du Quebec HO1.5 3–2 HIT19 AUG Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC BTTS -11% 4–0 MISS16 AUG Supra du Quebec vs Atlético Ottawa Over 2.5 -1% 1–2 HIT16 AUG York United vs HFX Wanderers FC Over 2.5 -7% 4–3 HIT15 AUG Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC Home +7% 1–1 MISS15 AUG Cavalry FC vs Forge — NO PICK 2–1 —9 AUG Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC Away +13% 1–1 MISS