Today / USA - NWSL / Boston Legacy W vs Bay FC W
Boston Legacy W vs Bay FC W Prediction— USA - NWSL
Group Stage ·Sunday, July 5, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.20)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%
Form & verdict
BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 1.00
BAY FC W · PPG 1.20
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.20)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Boston Legacy W face Bay FC W in USA - NWSL on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boston Legacy W a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Bay FC W 25%, so Boston Legacy W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Boston Legacy W and 1.1 for Bay FC W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boston Legacy W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Bay FC W.