Today / Belarus - Vysshaya Liga / Belshina vs Baranovichi

Belshina vs Baranovichi Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, July 5, 2026, 15:00

Belshina

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Baranovichi

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.8%0-24.1%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.3%1-111.3%1-26.9%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.5%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.3%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 29.6% — — —

Over 2.5 54.1% — — —

Over 3.5 34.9% — — —

BTTS 55.6% — — —

Home O1.5 53.2% — — —

Away O1.5 39.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.6%

H 45% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Belshina1.7

Baranovichi1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BELSHINA · PPG 1.43

BARANOVICHI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Belshina (H) 45.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Baranovichi (A) 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Belshina face Baranovichi in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belshina a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Baranovichi 30%, so Belshina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Belshina and 1.2 for Baranovichi (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belshina are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.00 for Baranovichi.

Belshina vs Baranovichi Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belarus - Vysshaya Liga Predictions