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Atletico Mitre vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, July 5, 2026, 19:00

Atletico Mitre

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

All Boys

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-18.4%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.6%1-112.0%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.9%2-18.6%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.6%3-14.1%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 47.6% 2.10 +2.5%

Draw 27.0% 37.0% 2.70 -16.3%

Away win 24.3% 25.6% 3.90 -3.1%

Over 2.5 47.1% 32.3% 3.10 +46.0%

Over 3.5 28.0% 14.3% 7.00 +57.6%

BTTS 48.5% 41.7% 2.40 +16.4%

Home O1.5 43.2% 35.7% 2.80 +21.0%

Away O1.5 22.5% 22.2% 4.50 +0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 147 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -11.1%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.6%

#2 1–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Mitre1.4

All Boys0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO MITRE · PPG 1.25

ALL BOYS · PPG 0.44

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=48.8%

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Mitre (H) 48.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +2.5%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -16.3%

All Boys (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Mitre face All Boys in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Mitre a 49% chance, the draw 27% and All Boys 24%, so Atletico Mitre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Atletico Mitre and 0.7 for All Boys (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Mitre are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.44 for All Boys. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +57.6%.

Atletico Mitre vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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