Leagues / NORWAY / 1st Division
1st Division
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 97 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
51.5%
1X2
50/97
73.2%
O/U 2.5
71/97
63.9%
BTTS
62/97
25.8%
Exact score
25/97
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
33
Settled
78.8%
Hit rate
26/33
1.54
Avg odds
+21.6%
ROI
+7.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=21 81.0% HIT · AVG 1.45 · +14.4% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=7 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.41 · +1.3% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.64 · +14.0% ROI
OVER 3.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.30 · +130.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 3.30 · +230.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
7
Bets
71%
Hit
+15.4%
ROI
✓ Solid
5
Bets
80%
Hit
+14.4%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
14
Bets
71%
Hit
+15.8%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
7
Bets
100%
Hit
+44.6%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 12 HIT · 3 MISS
30 AUG hodd vs Stabaek Over 2.5 -7% 2–1 HIT30 AUG Bryne vs Haugesund Over 2.5 -5% 0–2 MISS30 AUG Egersund vs Asane HO1.5 2–2 HIT30 AUG Kongsvinger vs Lyn HO1.5 4–4 HIT30 AUG Moss vs Strommen Over 2.5 -3% 1–2 HIT30 AUG Sogndal vs Stromsgodset Over 2.5 -15% 2–3 HIT30 AUG Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb Over 2.5 -10% 3–5 HIT30 AUG Raufoss vs Sandnes ULF BTTS -14% 0–3 MISS26 AUG Strommen vs Raufoss Over 2.5 +1% 3–1 HIT26 AUG Moss vs Sogndal Over 2.5 -13% 2–2 HIT26 AUG Asane vs Lyn Over 2.5 -6% 1–2 HIT26 AUG Stromsgodset vs hodd Over 2.5 -15% 3–1 HIT26 AUG Stabaek vs Ranheim Over 2.5 -2% 4–2 HIT26 AUG ODD Ballklubb vs Kongsvinger Over 2.5 -11% 0–1 MISS26 AUG Haugesund vs Egersund HO1.5 3–0 HIT