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S. Shenhua vs Zhejiang Prediction— China - Super League

Sunday, July 5, 2026

S. Shenhua

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Zhejiang

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.4%0-22.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.8%1-18.0%1-24.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.0%2-19.5%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.4%3-17.5%3-24.5%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-17.8%4+-24.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.7% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 66.9% — — —

Over 3.5 43.9% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 61.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -14.9%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 58% / xG 2.4-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 3–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Shenhua2.4

Zhejiang1.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.9%

Form & verdict PPG

S. SHENHUA · PPG 1.75

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

S. Shenhua (H) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zhejiang (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Shenhua face Zhejiang in China - Super League on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Shenhua a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Zhejiang 20%, so S. Shenhua are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for S. Shenhua and 1.2 for Zhejiang (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Shenhua are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.25 for Zhejiang.

S. Shenhua vs Zhejiang Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions