Today / South Korea - K League 2 / Jeonnam vs Busan IPark
Jeonnam vs Busan IPark Prediction— South Korea - K League 2
Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, July 5, 2026, 10:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a clear edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 57% / xG 1.0-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%
Form & verdict
JEONNAM · PPG 0.33
BUSAN IPARK · PPG 2.14
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs Home POOR (0.33)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Jeonnam face Busan IPark in South Korea - K League 2 on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonnam a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Busan IPark 57%, so Busan IPark are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Jeonnam and 2.1 for Busan IPark (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonnam are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 2.14 for Busan IPark. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +33.9%.