League One
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 82 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
46.3%
1X2
38/82
52.4%
O/U 2.5
43/82
46.3%
BTTS
38/82
43.9%
Exact score
36/82
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
26
Settled
57.7%
Hit rate
15/26
1.86
Avg odds
+2.1%
ROI
+0.5u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=13 46.2% HIT · AVG 1.80 · -19.5% ROI
BTTS · N=6 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.75 · +74.5% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +11.7% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 2.15 · +12.5% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.80 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 3.10 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+67.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
19
Bets
63%
Hit
+12.6%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-40.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 13 PICKS · 9 HIT · 4 MISS
30 AUG Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Kejia Over 2.5 +13% 1–1 MISS30 AUG Dalian Huayi vs Nantong Zhiyun BTTS -14% 3–2 HIT30 AUG Guangzhou E-Power vs Changchun Yatai Over 2.5 +7% 3–0 HIT29 AUG Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding BTTS -7% 3–1 HIT29 AUG Hebei Kungfu vs Wuxi Wugou BTTS -11% 2–0 MISS29 AUG Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors AO1.5 1–2 HIT29 AUG Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen BTTS -9% 0–2 MISS29 AUG Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu BTTS -5% 3–4 HIT23 AUG Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United Over 2.5 +25% 6–0 HIT23 AUG Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City — NO PICK 3–1 —22 AUG Dalian Huayi vs Wuxi Wugou BTTS -1% 2–1 HIT22 AUG Ningbo Professional vs Yanbian Longding BTTS -2% 2–3 HIT22 AUG Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu Home -20% 3–3 MISS22 AUG Meizhou Kejia vs Guangzhou E-Power AO1.5 1–5 HIT22 AUG Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi Union — NO PICK 4–1 —