Leagues / AUSTRALIA / NPL Capital Territory
NPL Capital Territory
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 60 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
75.0%
1X2
45/60
71.7%
O/U 2.5
43/60
55.0%
BTTS
33/60
30.0%
Exact score
18/60
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
16
Settled
81.2%
Hit rate
13/16
1.37
Avg odds
+12.0%
ROI
+1.9u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=6 83.3% HIT · AVG 1.34 · +12.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=5 80.0% HIT · AVG 1.35 · +10.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.30 · -16.7% ROI
OVER 3.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · +60.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+54.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-70.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
100%
Hit
+41.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
100%
Hit
+35.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 12 HIT · 3 MISS
29 AUG Cooma Tigers FC vs Canberra Juventus HO1.5 4–2 HIT29 AUG Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City Over 2.5 -5% 0–2 MISS22 AUG Canberra Olympic vs Brindabella HO1.5 5–4 HIT22 AUG Canberra White Eagles vs Monaro Panthers AO1.5 0–5 HIT22 AUG Canberra FC vs Belconnen United HO1.5 4–0 HIT22 AUG Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights HO1.5 1–0 MISS22 AUG Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Juventus Over 2.5 -8% 2–0 MISS16 AUG Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic Over 2.5 -13% 1–3 HIT16 AUG Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan City Over 2.5 -8% 1–2 HIT15 AUG O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles BTTS -20% 3–1 HIT15 AUG Brindabella vs Cooma Tigers FC Away -25% 1–6 HIT15 AUG Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC Over 2.5 +7% 2–3 HIT12 AUG Brindabella vs Tuggeranong United AO1.5 0–6 HIT9 AUG Canberra Juventus vs Canberra White Eagles HO1.5 4–2 HIT8 AUG Canberra Olympic vs Cooma Tigers FC Over 2.5 -13% 2–5 HIT