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Gimhae vs Seoul E-Land Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, July 5, 2026, 10:30

Gimhae

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Seoul E-Land

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-110.9%0-211.9%0-38.7%0-4+8.0%1 1-04.0%1-18.8%1-29.7%1-37.1%1-4+6.5%2 2-01.6%2-13.6%2-23.9%2-32.9%2-4+2.6%3 3-00.4%3-11.0%3-21.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.9% 18.5% 5.40 -8.5%

Draw 22.7% 25.6% 3.90 -6.9%

Away win 61.4% 64.5% 1.55 -4.8%

Over 2.5 60.9% 54.6% 1.83 +11.5%

Over 3.5 37.1% 32.3% 3.10 +15.0%

BTTS 52.8% 55.6% 1.80 -5.0%

Home O1.5 33.7% 25.3% 3.95 +33.1%

Away O1.5 58.5% 58.8% 1.70 -0.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob52.8%

A 61% / xG 0.8-2.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.9%

#2 1–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 9.7%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–3 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimhae0.8

Seoul E-Land2.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMHAE · PPG 0.00

SEOUL E-LAND · PPG 1.86

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Gimhae (H) 15.9%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV -8.5%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -6.9%

Seoul E-Land (A) 61.4%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimhae face Seoul E-Land in South Korea - K League 2 on Sunday, July 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimhae a 16% chance, the draw 23% and Seoul E-Land 61%, so Seoul E-Land are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gimhae and 2.2 for Seoul E-Land (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimhae are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.86 for Seoul E-Land. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +33.1%.

Gimhae vs Seoul E-Land Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More South Korea - K League 2 Predictions