01:00
H
27.3% -5.9%
D
21.2% -14.2%
A
51.6% -4.5%
O2.5
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 63.7%
1–3
HitFootball predictions today · Sun 14 Jun
01:00
H
48.9% -6.6%
D
24.1% -13.0%
A
27.1% +0.2%
BTTS
O2.5 55.2% · BTTS 55.7%
0–1
Miss01:00
H
40.1% -15.8%
D
24.1% -6.5%
A
35.8% +2.0%
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 61.7%
1–1
Miss01:30
H
35.2% -34.9%
D
29.5% +1.9%
A
35.3% +25.3%
No bet
O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 49.9%
1–1
Skipped02:00
H
50.6% -21.6%
D
24.7% -0.7%
A
24.7% +14.1%
O2.5
O2.5 60.6% · BTTS 58.3%
0–0
Miss23:00
H
31.4% +64.8%
D
25.2% -2.5%
A
43.4% -32.7%
BTTS
O2.5 54.3% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
02:00
H
10.7% +42.7%
D
16.0% +16.8%
A
73.3% -21.6%
O2.5
O2.5 81.1% · BTTS 61.6%
0–9
Hit04:30
H
13.8% +89.0%
D
15.4% +17.6%
A
70.8% -25.7%
O2.5
O2.5 82.6% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
06:30
H
49.0% -19.6%
D
22.0% -11.2%
A
29.1% +20.3%
O2.5
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
11:00
H
49.3% +8.5%
D
27.4% -9.0%
A
23.3% -18.1%
No bet
O2.5 48.3% · BTTS 48.1%
Pending
11:00
H
58.7% -4.9%
D
22.2% -14.1%
A
19.1% -0.4%
Home
O2.5 50.7% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
11:30
H
39.6% -24.8%
D
32.6% +1.1%
A
27.8% +8.4%
No bet
O2.5 34.9% · BTTS 47.6%
Pending
11:00
H
63.1% -9.1%
D
20.3% -8.8%
A
16.6% -10.2%
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 52.2%
Pending
11:00
H
20.8% -19.4%
D
23.9% -7.7%
A
55.2% +5.4%
BTTS
O2.5 54.4% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
11:00
H
44.8% -14.4%
D
24.4% -6.6%
A
30.8% +0.1%
O2.5
O2.5 60.6% · BTTS 60.5%
Pending
12:30
H
57.7%
D
23.0%
A
19.3%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 48.9% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
12:30
H
49.4% +3.7%
D
22.2% -11.4%
A
28.5% -11.3%
O2.5
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
11:00
H
46.4% -22.1%
D
25.2% -4.1%
A
28.4% +13.8%
BTTS
O2.5 54.4% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
12:00
H
48.9% +0.2%
D
24.0% -7.4%
A
27.1% -11.2%
BTTS
O2.5 60.6% · BTTS 61.6%
Pending
13:00
H
57.6% -3.2%
D
22.4% -6.9%
A
20.0% -13.2%
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
13:00
H
48.4% -5.6%
D
23.3% -6.2%
A
28.3% -7.4%
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 63.6%
Pending
14:00
H
29.3% +17.3%
D
22.7% -4.2%
A
48.0% -23.2%
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 61.6%
Pending
11:00
H
13.0% -24.9%
D
18.8% -17.1%
A
68.2% +11.8%
Away
O2.5 65.1% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
14:00
H
43.9% -14.4%
D
21.8% -9.6%
A
34.3% +6.3%
O2.5
O2.5 64.6% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
14:00
H
50.1% +30.3%
D
22.1% -10.3%
A
27.8% -23.3%
BTTS
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 66.7%
Pending
14:00
H
39.8% -40.3%
D
24.6% -1.7%
A
35.6% +95.8%
BTTS
O2.5 57.4% · BTTS 59.6%
Pending
11:00
H
28.4% -0.4%
D
22.2% -12.7%
A
49.5% -8.4%
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 61.6%
Pending
14:00
H
49.3% -28.5%
D
27.4% +7.4%
A
23.3% +21.1%
No bet
O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
11:00
H
38.2% +24.1%
D
22.0% -13.1%
A
39.8% -18.4%
O2.5
O2.5 65.4% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
13:00
H
54.4% +0.6%
D
24.7% -6.7%
A
20.9% -11.1%
Home
O2.5 54.3% · BTTS 52.3%
Pending
13:00
H
36.4% -18.1%
D
25.5% -4.9%
A
38.1% +8.6%
BTTS
O2.5 55.7% · BTTS 59.9%
Pending
15:00
H
39.7% -16.6%
D
24.8% -5.7%
A
35.5% +13.6%
BTTS
O2.5 54.4% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
11:15
H
21.0% +15.6%
D
23.4% -6.7%
A
55.6% -19.9%
Away
O2.5 54.3% · BTTS 52.2%
Pending
11:30
H
55.4% -3.0%
D
24.1% -9.4%
A
20.5% -12.0%
BTTS
O2.5 54.4% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
13:00
H
63.0% -18.7%
D
18.0% -6.0%
A
19.0% +19.8%
O2.5
O2.5 81.2% · BTTS 67.3%
Pending
13:00
H
21.7% -30.0%
D
19.1% -19.9%
A
59.2% +42.1%
O2.5
O2.5 76.2% · BTTS 67.2%
Pending
15:30
H
52.2% +20.1%
D
18.4% -18.1%
A
29.4% -19.4%
O2.5
O2.5 81.2% · BTTS 68.0%
Pending
14:00
H
53.1% -20.9%
D
27.3% +2.2%
A
19.7% +27.5%
Home
O2.5 38.0% · BTTS 47.6%
Pending
14:00
H
35.2% -16.9%
D
32.7% +3.0%
A
32.0% -2.4%
No bet
O2.5 37.8% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
19:00
H
48.7% +21.8%
D
28.3% -8.2%
A
23.0% -19.4%
No bet
O2.5 43.2% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
20:00
H
30.7% -33.1%
D
37.9% +9.9%
A
31.5% +18.1%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 44.2%
Pending
22:00
H
39.9% -10.6%
D
30.4% -12.4%
A
29.7% +5.0%
No bet
O2.5 43.2% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
22:00
H
44.9% -5.7%
D
27.6% -7.0%
A
27.5% -1.4%
No bet
O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
14:00
H
47.9%
D
29.2%
A
22.8%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 37.8% · BTTS 47.6%
Pending
19:00
H
39.3% -29.3%
D
27.3% -6.8%
A
33.3% +36.5%
BTTS
O2.5 48.9% · BTTS 52.2%
Pending
19:30
H
21.9% -22.6%
D
30.3% -6.1%
A
47.8% +13.8%
No bet
O2.5 43.2% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
22:30
H
48.3% +1.4%
D
28.8% -11.6%
A
22.8% -9.4%
No bet
O2.5 40.1% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
22:30
H
37.5% -28.4%
D
39.9% +14.9%
A
22.6% -1.3%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 29.6%
Pending
14:00
H
15.4% +16.2%
D
24.0% +2.4%
A
60.6% -19.4%
Away
O2.5 48.9% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
14:00
H
63.0% +11.5%
D
18.0% -15.7%
A
19.0% -20.7%
O2.5
O2.5 81.2% · BTTS 68.0%
Pending
14:00
H
30.4% +24.6%
D
24.1% -0.7%
A
45.4% -25.5%
BTTS
O2.5 60.6% · BTTS 61.6%
Pending
14:00
H
33.9% -11.9%
D
27.8% -2.5%
A
38.3% -10.0%
BTTS
O2.5 50.5% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
14:00
H
53.2% -2.6%
D
21.0% -14.0%
A
25.8% -4.3%
O2.5
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 65.1%
Pending
14:00
H
50.4% -7.8%
D
21.7% -7.9%
A
27.9% -4.8%
O2.5
O2.5 73.0% · BTTS 67.2%
Pending
14:00
H
62.3% +4.7%
D
19.3% -13.7%
A
18.4% -16.9%
O2.5
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 61.6%
Pending
14:00
H
71.8% -13.8%
D
18.6% +4.2%
A
9.6% +3.4%
O2.5
O2.5 73.0% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
15:00
H
35.6% -25.2%
D
28.2% -7.5%
A
36.2% +12.2%
BTTS
O2.5 48.9% · BTTS 52.3%
Pending
17:00
H
48.3% +6.3%
D
28.9% -9.7%
A
22.8% -17.6%
No bet
O2.5 38.5% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
16:00
H
22.2% -13.4%
D
29.3% -7.3%
A
48.4% -5.6%
No bet
O2.5 47.7% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
16:00
H
17.5% -10.1%
D
21.1% -10.6%
A
61.4% -6.1%
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 60.5%
Pending
16:00
H
76.9%
D
14.8%
A
8.3%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 81.2% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
16:00
H
63.9%
D
17.9%
A
18.2%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 80.9% · BTTS 66.7%
Pending
16:30
H
31.4% -12.7%
D
24.2% -9.2%
A
44.4% +0.3%
O2.5
O2.5 59.9% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
19:00
H
21.8% -15.5%
D
33.7% +9.5%
A
44.5% -8.3%
No bet
O2.5 37.8% · BTTS 47.6%
Pending
21:30
H
61.8% -6.1%
D
20.0% -12.0%
A
18.2% +1.1%
O2.5
O2.5 63.2% · BTTS 55.7%
Pending
17:00
H
54.0% -8.2%
D
22.4% -4.9%
A
23.6% -6.9%
O2.5
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
17:30
H
27.3% -10.9%
D
39.6% -1.0%
A
33.2% -8.7%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 34.7%
Pending
18:00
H
42.3% -19.6%
D
39.0% +7.2%
A
18.7% -3.9%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 31.5%
Pending
18:00
H
48.7%
D
31.8%
A
19.5%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 34.9% · BTTS 44.2%
Pending
18:30
H
41.1% -40.4%
D
36.7% +24.8%
A
22.2% +53.2%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 42.9%
Pending
18:30
H
33.6% -36.2%
D
39.9% +13.7%
A
26.5% +13.1%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 44.1%
Pending
19:00
H
21.4% -26.6%
D
42.4% +6.0%
A
36.3% +16.2%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 42.9%
Pending
19:00
H
44.6% -15.3%
D
32.1% -13.3%
A
23.3% +9.9%
No bet
O2.5 37.8% · BTTS 47.6%
Pending
19:00
H
45.0% -5.5%
D
30.8% -19.3%
A
24.3% -0.2%
No bet
O2.5 40.6% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
19:30
H
31.7% -38.2%
D
39.6% +8.9%
A
28.7% +19.2%
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 44.2%
Pending
19:30
H
36.0% -26.2%
D
33.4% -14.8%
A
30.6% +37.7%
No bet
O2.5 34.9% · BTTS 47.6%
Pending
19:00
H
72.4% -5.9%
D
18.6% -1.4%
A
9.0% -22.2%
Home
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
22:00
H
57.6% -19.4%
D
22.4% +1.8%
A
20.0% +15.0%
Home
O2.5 54.4% · BTTS 52.2%
Pending
22:00
H
45.5% -24.9%
D
29.3% +10.3%
A
25.2% +5.0%
No bet
O2.5 47.1% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
—
H
43.2%
D
23.4%
A
33.4%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 63.4% · BTTS 61.6%
Pending
—
H
20.8%
D
21.1%
A
58.1%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 67.0% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
—
H
31.5%
D
32.4%
A
36.1%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 40.2% · BTTS 47.8%
Pending
—
H
38.3%
D
21.0%
A
40.7%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 73.0% · BTTS 67.2%
Pending
—
H
35.0%
D
22.7%
A
42.3%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 64.2% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
—
H
42.6%
D
34.3%
A
23.1%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 21.2% · BTTS 43.7%
Pending
—
H
54.4%
D
21.8%
A
23.8%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 65.8% · BTTS 64.1%
Pending
—
H
45.4%
D
24.6%
A
30.0%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 62.2% · BTTS 61.6%
Pending
—
H
32.2%
D
22.3%
A
45.5%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 64.9% · BTTS 63.7%
Pending
—
H
57.7%
D
18.9%
A
23.4%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 73.0% · BTTS 66.7%
Pending
How the model calls it
01 · Strength
Attack and defence ratings per team from recent form, weighted by opposition — the inputs behind expected goals.
02 · Poisson
Goal expectancies become a full scoreline matrix: win, draw, Over 2.5, BTTS and top correct scores from one distribution.
03 · Edge
Model probability vs live bookmaker odds. A positive gap is value, flagged on every outcome as +EV%. No edge, no bet.
Questions, answered straight
How accurate are these football predictions?
Every pick is graded automatically at full time and kept on the public record. The full history, including losing days, is on the Accuracy page.
What is a value bet?
A bet where the model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. If the model says 49% and the odds imply 34%, that gap is the edge — shown as +EV% next to each outcome. Value bets can still lose; the point is being paid more than the risk is worth over hundreds of bets.
How does a Poisson model predict matches?
It estimates how many goals each team is expected to score from attack and defence strength, then computes the probability of every scoreline. Summing those scorelines gives win/draw/loss, Over/Under and BTTS probabilities from a single consistent model.
Are the predictions free?
Yes — every match, every league, every day.
Why does the model say "No bet" on some matches?
When no outcome clears the confidence threshold, the model passes. Skipping bad spots is part of how the hit rate stays honest — a tip site that picks every match is selling volume, not edge.