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Vaajakoski vs TP-47 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C · Group C · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 13:00

Vaajakoski

PPG 0.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

TP-47

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 76.2% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-12.3%0-23.7%0-34.1%0-4+7.5%1 1-01.2%1-13.9%1-26.3%1-36.9%1-4+12.8%2 2-01.0%2-13.3%2-25.4%2-35.8%2-4+10.8%3 3-00.6%3-11.9%3-23.0%3-33.3%3-4+6.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.2%4+-21.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+3.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 21.7% 2.30 -30.0%

Draw 19.1% 3.50 -19.9%

Away win 59.2% 2.40 +42.1%

Over 2.5 76.2% 1.25 -4.8%

Over 3.5 53.4% 1.57 -16.2%

BTTS 67.2% 1.25 -16.0%

Win probability 1X2

Vaajakoski (H) 21.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -30.0%

Draw 19.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -19.9%

TP-47 (A) 59.2%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +42.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 33%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob67.2%

A 59% / xG 1.7-3.3 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 6.9%

#2 1–2 6.3%

#3 2–3 5.8%

#4 1–4 5.6%

#5 2–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vaajakoski1.7

TP-473.3

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.2% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VAAJAKOSKI · PPG 0.75

TP-47 · PPG 2.50

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Vaajakoski face TP-47 in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vaajakoski a 22% chance, the draw 19% and TP-47 59%, so TP-47 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vaajakoski and 3.3 for TP-47 (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vaajakoski are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 2.50 for TP-47. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +77.3%.

Vaajakoski vs TP-47 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

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