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Junkeren vs Honefoss Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 · Regular Season - 10 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 14:00

Junkeren

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Honefoss

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-17.5%0-27.6%0-35.1%0-4+4.1%1 1-04.7%1-19.5%1-29.6%1-36.5%1-4+5.3%2 2-03.0%2-16.1%2-26.2%2-34.2%2-4+3.4%3 3-01.3%3-12.6%3-22.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 29.3% 4.40 +17.3%

Draw 22.7% 4.10 -4.2%

Away win 48.0% 1.60 -23.2%

Over 2.5 64.2% 1.42 -8.8%

Over 3.5 40.9% 2.05 -16.2%

BTTS 61.6% 1.45 -10.7%

Win probability 1X2

Junkeren (H) 29.3%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +17.3%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -4.2%

Honefoss (A) 48.0%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -23.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 31%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob61.6%

A 48% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Junkeren1.3

Honefoss2.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JUNKEREN · PPG 1.40

HONEFOSS · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.40) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Junkeren face Honefoss in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Junkeren a 29% chance, the draw 23% and Honefoss 48%, so Honefoss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Junkeren and 2.0 for Honefoss (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Junkeren are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.75 for Honefoss. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.3%.

Junkeren vs Honefoss Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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