Today / Australia - New South Wales NPL / Rockdale vs SD Raiders

Rockdale vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL · Regular Season - 19 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 06:30

Rockdale

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

SD Raiders

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.6%0-22.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.1%1-17.9%1-26.2%1-33.2%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.1%3-16.5%3-25.1%3-32.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-16.0%4+-24.7%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 49.0% 1.64 -19.6%

Draw 22.0% 3.70 -11.2%

Away win 29.1% 4.60 +20.3%

Over 2.5 65.8% 1.57 +3.3%

Over 3.5 42.8% 2.38 +1.9%

BTTS 63.7% 1.53 -2.5%

Win probability 1X2

Rockdale (H) 49.0%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -19.6%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -11.2%

SD Raiders (A) 29.1%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +20.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -8.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.7%

H 49% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rockdale2.2

SD Raiders1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ROCKDALE · PPG 1.67

SD RAIDERS · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale face SD Raiders in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale a 49% chance, the draw 22% and SD Raiders 29%, so Rockdale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Rockdale and 1.6 for SD Raiders (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.14 for SD Raiders. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +38.3%.

Rockdale vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - New South Wales NPL Predictions