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Stockholm Inter vs FBK Karlstad Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 12 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 14:00

Stockholm Inter

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FBK Karlstad

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-19.0%0-26.6%0-33.3%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.0%1-111.9%1-28.8%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.3%2-17.9%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.3%3-13.5%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.8% 66.7% 1.50 -40.3%

Draw 24.6% 25.3% 3.95 -1.7%

Away win 35.6% 18.2% 5.50 +95.8%

Over 2.5 57.4% 60.6% 1.65 -5.3%

Over 3.5 36.2% 38.5% 2.60 -5.9%

BTTS 59.6% 59.9% 1.67 -0.5%

Home O1.5 41.6% 65.4% 1.53 -36.4%

Away O1.5 49.4% 29.4% 3.40 +68.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 8.1%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.6%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–0 6.1%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockholm Inter1.3

FBK Karlstad1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKHOLM INTER · PPG 1.67

FBK KARLSTAD · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.67) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Stockholm Inter (H) 39.8%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -40.3%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -1.7%

FBK Karlstad (A) 35.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +95.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockholm Inter face FBK Karlstad in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockholm Inter a 40% chance, the draw 25% and FBK Karlstad 36%, so Stockholm Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Stockholm Inter and 1.5 for FBK Karlstad (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockholm Inter are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.00 for FBK Karlstad. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +95.8%. This match finished 3-1.

Stockholm Inter vs FBK Karlstad Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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