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Stockholm Inter vs FBK Karlstad Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Sweden - Ettan - Norra · Norra - 12 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 14:00

Stockholm Inter

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

FBK Karlstad

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-19.0%0-26.6%0-33.3%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.0%1-111.9%1-28.8%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.3%2-17.9%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.3%3-13.5%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.8% 1.50 -40.3%

Draw 24.6% 3.95 -1.7%

Away win 35.6% 5.50 +95.8%

Over 2.5 57.4% 1.65 -5.3%

Over 3.5 36.2% 2.60 -5.9%

BTTS 59.6% 1.67 -0.5%

Win probability 1X2

Stockholm Inter (H) 39.8%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -40.3%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -1.7%

FBK Karlstad (A) 35.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +95.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -17.6%

Bet Hit 46%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.6%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–0 6.1%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockholm Inter1.3

FBK Karlstad1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKHOLM INTER · PPG 1.67

FBK KARLSTAD · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.67) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockholm Inter face FBK Karlstad in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockholm Inter a 40% chance, the draw 25% and FBK Karlstad 36%, so Stockholm Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Stockholm Inter and 1.5 for FBK Karlstad (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockholm Inter are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.00 for FBK Karlstad. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +95.8%.

Stockholm Inter vs FBK Karlstad Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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