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Stjordals-Blink vs Trygg.Lade Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 · Regular Season - 10 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 13:00

Stjordals-Blink

PPG 0.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Trygg.Lade

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.4%0-24.1%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.6%1-19.8%1-27.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.6%3-15.5%3-24.1%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.8%4+-22.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 48.4% 1.95 -5.6%

Draw 23.3% 3.85 -6.2%

Away win 28.3% 3.10 -7.4%

Over 2.5 64.2% 1.45 -6.9%

Over 3.5 41.5% 2.15 -10.8%

BTTS 63.6% 1.42 -9.7%

Win probability 1X2

Stjordals-Blink (H) 48.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -5.6%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -6.2%

Trygg.Lade (A) 28.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 31%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.6%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stjordals-Blink1.8

Trygg.Lade1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

STJORDALS-BLINK · PPG 0.25

TRYGG.LADE · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

Stjordals-Blink face Trygg.Lade in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stjordals-Blink a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Trygg.Lade 28%, so Stjordals-Blink are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Stjordals-Blink and 1.5 for Trygg.Lade (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stjordals-Blink are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Trygg.Lade. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +3.7%.

Stjordals-Blink vs Trygg.Lade Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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