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Blooming vs Real Tomayapo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Bolivia - Primera División · Apertura - 9 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 19:00

Blooming

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Real Tomayapo

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 72.4% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-11.1%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.8%1-13.7%1-20.9%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.7%2-16.0%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.9%3-16.5%3-21.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-025.8%4+-112.1%4+-22.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 72.4% 1.30 -5.9%

Draw 18.6% 5.25 -1.4%

Away win 9.0% 7.00 -22.2%

Over 2.5 64.2% 1.33 -14.6%

Over 3.5 42.0% 1.85 -22.3%

BTTS 47.8% 1.55 -25.9%

Win probability 1X2

Blooming (H) 72.4%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -5.9%

Draw 18.6%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -1.4%

Real Tomayapo (A) 9.0%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV -22.2%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 66%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob47.8%

H 72% / xG 3.3-0.5 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.9%

#2 2–0 12.7%

#3 4–0 11.3%

#4 5–0 7.4%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blooming3.3

Real Tomayapo0.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BLOOMING · PPG 2.33

REAL TOMAYAPO · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

Blooming face Real Tomayapo in Bolivia - Primera División on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blooming a 72% chance, the draw 19% and Real Tomayapo 9%, so Blooming are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Blooming and 0.5 for Real Tomayapo (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blooming are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Real Tomayapo. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.6%.

Blooming vs Real Tomayapo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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