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Enkoping vs Vasalund Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Sweden - Ettan - Norra · Norra - 12 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 14:00

Enkoping

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vasalund

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 66.7% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.7%0-22.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-03.8%1-16.5%1-25.7%1-33.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.6%2-17.9%2-26.9%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.7%3-16.4%3-25.6%3-33.2%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-17.0%4+-26.1%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 50.1% 2.60 +30.3%

Draw 22.1% 3.75 -10.3%

Away win 27.8% 2.20 -23.3%

Over 2.5 65.8% 1.45 -4.6%

Over 3.5 47.0% 2.15 +1.1%

BTTS 66.7% 1.40 -6.6%

Win probability 1X2

Enkoping (H) 50.1%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +30.3%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -10.3%

Vasalund (A) 27.8%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -23.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -17.6%

Bet Hit 46%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 57%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.7%

H 50% / xG 2.4-1.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 1–1 6.5%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 1–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enkoping2.4

Vasalund1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 47.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ENKOPING · PPG 2.00

VASALUND · PPG 0.83

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enkoping face Vasalund in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enkoping a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Vasalund 28%, so Enkoping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Enkoping and 1.7 for Vasalund (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enkoping are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Vasalund. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +56.6%.

Enkoping vs Vasalund Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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