Today / Hviti Riddarinn vs KFA

Hviti Riddarinn vs KFA Prediction

Unknown  · Sunday, June 14, 2026

Hviti Riddarinn
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
KFA
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.0%0-25.3%0-33.1%0-4+2.0%1 1-05.5%1-19.7%1-28.5%1-35.0%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.5%2-17.9%2-26.9%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.4%3-14.2%3-23.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.5%4+-22.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 35.0%
Draw 22.7%
Away win 42.3%
Over 2.5 64.2%
Over 3.5 41.5%
BTTS 63.7%

Win probability 1X2

Hviti Riddarinn (H) 35.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
KFA (A) 42.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%HUNT CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.7%

A 42% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%
#2 1–2 8.5%
#3 2–1 7.9%
#4 2–2 6.9%
#5 0–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hviti Riddarinn1.6
KFA1.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HVITI RIDDARINN · PPG 1.33

KFA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Hviti Riddarinn face KFA on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hviti Riddarinn a 35% chance, the draw 23% and KFA 42%, so KFA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hviti Riddarinn and 1.8 for KFA (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hviti Riddarinn are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for KFA.

PredictVantage

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