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Botafogo SP vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Brazil - Serie B · Regular Season - 13 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 22:00

Botafogo SP

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Operario PR

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-111.9%0-25.4%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.7%1-113.4%1-26.1%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.3%2-17.5%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.1%3-12.8%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.9% 2.24 -10.6%

Draw 30.4% 2.88 -12.4%

Away win 29.7% 3.65 +5.0%

Over 2.5 43.2% 2.60 +12.3%

Over 3.5 22.8% 5.25 +11.8%

BTTS 47.8% 2.05 -2.0%

Win probability 1X2

Botafogo SP (H) 39.9%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV -10.6%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -12.4%

Operario PR (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +5.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 106.1%

Bet Hit 56%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

H 40% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.1%

#3 1–0 14.7%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Botafogo SP1.1

Operario PR0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOTAFOGO SP · PPG 1.00

OPERARIO PR · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo SP face Operario PR in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo SP a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Operario PR 30%, so Botafogo SP are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Botafogo SP and 0.9 for Operario PR (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo SP are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Operario PR. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.3%.

Botafogo SP vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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