Today / Streymur vs B68 Toftir

Streymur vs B68 Toftir Prediction

Unknown  · Sunday, June 14, 2026

Streymur
PPG 0.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
B68 Toftir
PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.1%0-24.9%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.3%1-111.3%1-27.7%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.0%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.5%3-14.8%3-23.2%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.7%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 45.4%
Draw 24.6%
Away win 30.0%
Over 2.5 62.2%
Over 3.5 39.8%
BTTS 61.6%

Win probability 1X2

Streymur (H) 45.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
B68 Toftir (A) 30.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%HUNT CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.6%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 1–2 7.7%
#4 0–0 5.2%
#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Streymur1.6
B68 Toftir1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STREYMUR · PPG 0.33

B68 TOFTIR · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.33) vs Away POOR (0.80)

Match Preview & Prediction

Streymur face B68 Toftir on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Streymur a 45% chance, the draw 25% and B68 Toftir 30%, so Streymur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Streymur and 1.4 for B68 Toftir (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Streymur are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.80 for B68 Toftir.

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