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Union La Calera vs U. de Chile Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Chile - Primera División · Regular Season - 15 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 19:00

Union La Calera

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

U. de Chile

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.7%0-119.6%0-210.8%0-34.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.1%1-112.2%1-26.8%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-03.5%2-13.8%2-22.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.7%3-10.8%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 21.8% 3.40 -15.5%

Draw 33.7% 3.25 +9.5%

Away win 44.5% 2.06 -8.3%

Over 2.5 37.8% 2.10 -20.6%

Over 3.5 18.5% 3.70 -18.9%

BTTS 47.6% 1.80 -14.3%

Win probability 1X2

Union La Calera (H) 21.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -15.5%

Draw 33.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +9.5%

U. de Chile (A) 44.5%

ODDS 2.06 · IMPLIED 48.5% EV -8.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -9.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.6%

A 44% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.7%

#2 0–1 19.6%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–2 10.8%

#5 1–0 11.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union La Calera0.6

U. de Chile1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION LA CALERA · PPG 1.00

U. DE CHILE · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Match Preview & Prediction

Union La Calera face U. de Chile in Chile - Primera División on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union La Calera a 22% chance, the draw 34% and U. de Chile 45%, so U. de Chile are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Union La Calera and 1.1 for U. de Chile (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union La Calera are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for U. de Chile. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +9.5%.

Union La Calera vs U. de Chile Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Primera División Predictions