Today / Newcastle O. vs Kahibah

Newcastle O. vs Kahibah Prediction

Unknown · Sunday, June 14, 2026

Newcastle O.

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kahibah

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.4%0-22.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.8%1-16.3%1-25.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.8%2-18.0%2-26.6%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.8%3-25.7%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-18.1%4+-26.7%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 54.4% — —

Draw 21.8% — —

Away win 23.8% — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — —

Over 3.5 47.0% — —

BTTS 64.1% — —

Win probability 1X2

Newcastle O. (H) 54.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kahibah (A) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 59%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.1%

H 54% / xG 2.6-1.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.3%

#3 3–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newcastle O.2.6

Kahibah1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 47.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWCASTLE O. · PPG 0.33

KAHIBAH · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.00) strong but model favors Home (P=54.4%)

Match Preview & Prediction

Newcastle O. face Kahibah on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle O. a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Kahibah 24%, so Newcastle O. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Newcastle O. and 1.7 for Kahibah (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle O. are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Kahibah.

Newcastle O. vs Kahibah Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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