Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Dalvik.Reynir vs Haukar

Dalvik.Reynir vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 16:00

Dalvik.Reynir

PPG 2.33 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Haukar

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 67.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-18.1%0-29.6%0-37.5%0-4+7.7%1 1-03.5%1-18.2%1-29.7%1-37.6%1-4+7.8%2 2-01.8%2-14.2%2-24.9%2-33.8%2-4+3.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.4%3-21.6%3-31.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.5% 21.1% 4.75 -10.1%

Draw 21.1% 25.6% 3.90 -10.6%

Away win 61.4% 65.4% 1.53 -6.1%

Over 2.5 64.2% 66.7% 1.50 -3.7%

Over 3.5 41.5% 47.2% 2.12 -12.0%

BTTS 60.5% 66.7% 1.50 -9.3%

Home O1.5 36.7% 34.6% 2.89 +6.1%

Away O1.5 67.9% 69.9% 1.43 -2.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob60.5%

A 61% / xG 1.0-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.7%

#2 0–2 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 1–3 7.6%

#5 0–3 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalvik.Reynir1.0

Haukar2.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DALVIK.REYNIR · PPG 2.33

HAUKAR · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Dalvik.Reynir (H) 17.5%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -10.1%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -10.6%

Haukar (A) 61.4%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -6.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalvik.Reynir face Haukar in Iceland - 2. Deild on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalvik.Reynir a 18% chance, the draw 21% and Haukar 61%, so Haukar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dalvik.Reynir and 2.4 for Haukar (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalvik.Reynir are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Haukar. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +6.1%. This match finished 3-0.

Dalvik.Reynir vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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