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Dalvik.Reynir vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Iceland - 2. Deild · Regular Season - 8 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 16:00

Dalvik.Reynir

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Haukar

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-18.1%0-29.6%0-37.5%0-4+7.7%1 1-03.5%1-18.2%1-29.7%1-37.6%1-4+7.8%2 2-01.8%2-14.2%2-24.9%2-33.8%2-4+3.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.4%3-21.6%3-31.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 17.5% 4.75 -10.1%

Draw 21.1% 3.90 -10.6%

Away win 61.4% 1.53 -6.1%

Over 2.5 64.2% 1.50 -3.7%

Over 3.5 41.5% 2.12 -12.0%

BTTS 60.5% 1.50 -9.3%

Win probability 1X2

Dalvik.Reynir (H) 17.5%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -10.1%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -10.6%

Haukar (A) 61.4%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -6.1%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob60.5%

A 61% / xG 1.0-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.7%

#2 0–2 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 1–3 7.6%

#5 0–3 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalvik.Reynir1.0

Haukar2.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DALVIK.REYNIR · PPG 2.33

HAUKAR · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalvik.Reynir face Haukar in Iceland - 2. Deild on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalvik.Reynir a 18% chance, the draw 21% and Haukar 61%, so Haukar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dalvik.Reynir and 2.4 for Haukar (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalvik.Reynir are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Haukar. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +6.1%.

Dalvik.Reynir vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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