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Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 18 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 19:30

Deportivo Maipu

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tristan Suarez

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.7%0-115.8%0-26.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-113.0%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.7%2-15.4%2-22.1%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.8%3-11.5%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 2.05 -26.2%

Draw 33.4% 2.55 -14.8%

Away win 30.6% 4.50 +37.7%

Over 2.5 34.9% 2.70 -5.8%

Over 3.5 18.2% 5.50 +0.1%

BTTS 47.6% 2.10 -0.0%

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Maipu (H) 36.0%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -26.2%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -14.8%

Tristan Suarez (A) 30.6%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +37.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 121 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 71%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.6%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.7%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 15.8%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Maipu0.8

Tristan Suarez0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO MAIPU · PPG 2.14

TRISTAN SUAREZ · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.14) > Away GOOD (1.71)

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Maipu face Tristan Suarez in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Maipu a 36% chance, the draw 33% and Tristan Suarez 31%, so Deportivo Maipu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Deportivo Maipu and 0.8 for Tristan Suarez (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Maipu are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.71 for Tristan Suarez. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.7%.

Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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