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Brusque vs Santa Cruz Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Brazil - Serie C · Regular Season - 10 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 14:00

Brusque

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santa Cruz

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-19.9%0-23.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.0%1-112.1%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-17.4%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-13.0%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 47.9% — —

Draw 29.2% — —

Away win 22.8% — —

Over 2.5 37.8% — —

Over 3.5 18.9% — —

BTTS 47.6% — —

Win probability 1X2

Brusque (H) 47.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santa Cruz (A) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 71%

ROI -29.4%

Bet Hit 40%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.6%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.5%

#2 1–0 19.0%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.6%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brusque1.2

Santa Cruz0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUSQUE · PPG 3.00

SANTA CRUZ · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=47.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brusque face Santa Cruz in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brusque a 48% chance, the draw 29% and Santa Cruz 23%, so Brusque are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Brusque and 0.6 for Santa Cruz (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brusque are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Santa Cruz.

Brusque vs Santa Cruz Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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