Today / Thor Akureyri vs IBV

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Prediction

Unknown · Sunday, June 14, 2026

Thor Akureyri

PPG 0.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

IBV

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.7%0-25.5%0-33.5%0-4+2.7%1 1-04.7%1-19.1%1-28.8%1-35.6%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.8%2-17.2%2-27.0%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-02.0%3-13.8%3-23.7%3-32.4%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.2%4+-22.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 32.2% — —

Draw 22.3% — —

Away win 45.5% — —

Over 2.5 64.9% — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — —

BTTS 63.7% — —

Win probability 1X2

Thor Akureyri (H) 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

IBV (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.7%

A 46% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Thor Akureyri1.6

IBV1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

THOR AKUREYRI · PPG 0.75

IBV · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.25)

Match Preview & Prediction

Thor Akureyri face IBV on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Thor Akureyri a 32% chance, the draw 22% and IBV 46%, so IBV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Thor Akureyri and 1.9 for IBV (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Thor Akureyri are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.25 for IBV.

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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