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Volta Redonda vs Confianca Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 22:30

Volta Redonda

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Confianca

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-032.8%0-113.9%0-23.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-022.6%1-19.6%1-22.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.8%2-13.3%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.8%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.2%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% 52.4% 1.91 -28.4%

Draw 39.9% 34.7% 2.88 +14.9%

Away win 22.6% 23.1% 4.33 -1.3%

Over 2.5 21.2% 37.7% 2.65 -26.3%

Over 3.5 11.4% 20.0% 5.00 -25.8%

BTTS 29.6% 45.5% 2.20 -20.9%

Home O1.5 33.0% 41.7% 2.40 -20.8%

Away O1.5 0.0% 22.2% 4.50 -60.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -44.4%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob29.6%

H 38% / xG 0.7-0.4 / U2.5 21% / NoBTTS 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 32.8%

#2 1–0✓ 22.6%

#3 0–1 13.9%

#4 1–1 9.6%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volta Redonda0.7

Confianca0.4

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 21.2% · O3.5 PROB 11.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLTA REDONDA · PPG 1.60

CONFIANCA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Volta Redonda (H) 37.5%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -28.4%

Draw 39.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +14.9%

Confianca (A) 22.6%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -1.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Volta Redonda face Confianca in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volta Redonda a 38% chance, the draw 40% and Confianca 23%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Volta Redonda and 0.4 for Confianca (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volta Redonda are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.00 for Confianca. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 1-0.

Volta Redonda vs Confianca Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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