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Atletico Mitre vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 18 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 19:00

Atletico Mitre

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Los Andes

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-030.4%0-122.6%0-28.4%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-110.1%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-03.0%2-12.3%2-20.8%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.5%3-10.3%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 21.4% 2.60 -26.6%

Draw 42.4% 2.50 +6.0%

Away win 36.3% 3.20 +16.2%

Over 2.5 21.2% 3.35 -17.4%

Over 3.5 12.2% 8.00 -1.4%

BTTS 42.9% 2.40 +3.0%

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Mitre (H) 21.4%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -26.6%

Draw 42.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +6.0%

Los Andes (A) 36.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +16.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 121 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 71%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.9%

A 36% / xG 0.4-0.7 / U2.5 21% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 30.4%

#2 0–1 22.6%

#3 1–0 13.6%

#4 1–1 10.1%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Mitre0.4

Los Andes0.7

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 21.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO MITRE · PPG 1.43

LOS ANDES · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Mitre face Los Andes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Mitre a 21% chance, the draw 42% and Los Andes 36%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.4 for Atletico Mitre and 0.7 for Los Andes (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Mitre are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.00 for Los Andes. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +16.2%.

Atletico Mitre vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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